Soaring Forecast April 2-5

SOARING WEATHER FORECAST FOR SCSA (CRYSTALAIRE - 46CN) APRIL 2-5, 2010WEEKEND SYNOPSIS (FROM NWS).SHORT TERM (TODAY-SUN)...VERY NICE DAY ON TAP WITH HIGHS A FEWDEGREES WARMER THAN THU. A WEAK SYSTEM OVER THE BAY AREA WILL BRINGINCREASING CLOUDS TO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY NORTH OF PTCONCEPTION, OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED. 12Z MODELS SHOWEDTHIS SYSTEM HOLDING TOGETHER A LITTLE BETTER THAN PREVIOUSLYEXPECTED AND POSSIBLY ENOUGH TO DROP SOME LIGHT SHOWERS NORTH OF PTCONCEPTION THIS EVENING. WILL PROBABLY ADD SOME LOW POPS THERE WITHTHE AFTERNOON FORECAST. OTHERWISE, FORECAST ON TRACK. MOSTLY SUNNYCONDITIONS EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH HIGHS SIMILAR TO TODAY.A STRONGER SYSTEM WILL BE APPROACHING THE AREA SUNDAY. THE GFS ISABOUT 12 HOURS FASTER WITH IT THAN THE NAM, BUT BOTH INDICATE A HIGHCHANCE OF RAIN ALL AREAS BY SUNDAY EVENING AND AFTERNOON UPDATE WILLPROBABLY INCLUDE HIGHER POPS FOR MOST AREAS. STILL NOT A MAJORSYSTEM EXPECTED, BUT RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE HIGHER OVERALL THANTHE LAST SYSTEM.***FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION***.LONG TERM (MON-THU)...ON MONDAY...THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST OF THEAREA AND THE SHOWER THREAT SHOULD TAPER OFF NOTICEABLY THROUGH THEDAY...ALTHOUGH SOME LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN OVERNORTH SLOPES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS NORTHERLY FLOW INCREASES ACROSSTHE AREA.Dr Jack's predictions indicate FRIDAY the ceiling of useable lift will be at 9,000 feet with 500 fpm of lift.SATURDAY is looking great. 550 FPM of lift at the field to 10,000 feet.SUNDAY Dr. Jack is predicting 500 FPM of lift to 8,500 feet.Dr. Jack's Blipmaps and soaring predictions are free with a simple registration at his website.http://www.drjack.info/The National Weather Service is predicting the following surface conditions for Friday through Monday:FRIDAY:Sunny, Temperature: 67 degreesWind: West 13 to 16 mph.SATURDAY:Sunny, Temperature: 67 degreesWind: West 9 to 15 mph.SUNDAY:Sunny, Temperature: 62 degreesWind: Southwest 9 to 14 mph.MONDAY:Partly Cloudy, Temperature: 55 degreesWind: West up to 20 mph. Gusty